Thursday, August 31, 2006

PREDICTIONS OF A VERY BAD NOVERMBER FOR REPUBLICANS ARE COMING FAST AND FURIOUS... FROM REPUBLICANS

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With prediction of a building tsunami of sheer hatred and mistrust towards Bush, his criminal regime, and the Republican rubber stamp Congress, the Democrats, being the only other political party seriously or semi-seriously, contesting the election, are likely to reap far more seats than their pathetic lack of leadership merits. According to a story in last night's Political Wire the Republicans are putting their last desperate hopes of clinging to power in the House on knocking off a few Democrats. So which Democrats? Are they going after the fiery liberals like Barney Frank (D-MA), Raul Grijalva (D-AZ), Barbara Lee (D-CA), Jan Schakowsky (D-IL), Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) they love to revile? Uh... no. They're attacking the most reactionary Democrats who have consistently voted with Bush and the Republicans on substantive issues.

So thanks for voting to screw workers and consumers in favor of GOP corporate patrons, John Barrow (GA-12), Melissa Bean (IL-8), Alan Mollohan (WV-1), Leonard Boswell (IA-3), Chet Edwards (TX-17), Jim Marshall (GA-8), Charlie Melancon (LA-3), and John Spratt (SC-5). You're the ones against whom the Republicans are turning the gigantic bribes contributions they get from those corporations whose agendas you were so loyal to. And there's not a single one I would shed a tear over-- so long as real Democrats like the Blue America challengers win seats to replace their one annual dependable Democratic vote-- the one for House organization.

My friend Jim just sent me a similar analysis from the Prince of Darkness. Novak claims the only real Republican chance for a pick up is in IL-08 (against Big Business shill Melissa Bean)-- and he rates that as a "leans GOP." He has nothing on the board for the category "Likely Republican Takeover." On Novak's Red to Blue chart, there's a lot more action predicted, including likely Democratic takeovers in AZ-08 (Kolbe's old seat), TX-22 (DeLay's old seat) and against Mike Sodrel (IN-09) and Geoff Davis (KY-04). The "Leans Democratic" column has 11 endangered Republican seats, some held by such well-known and reviled figures as bankrobber Charles Taylor (NC-11), flippity-floppy Chirs Shays (CT-04), 2 drooling far right savages from Indiana, Chris Chocola and John Hostettler, and so on. And he's missing so many under-the-radar races that haven't shown up in the mainstream media yet. Like this one in Minnesota.

1 Comments:

At 8:45 AM, Blogger Freedem said...

If you would conquer an enemy, and war inevitable, make sure he is overconfidant to the point he is too lazy to plan well, then make your attack in the method and quarter he least expects. (not a quote from Sun-Tzu but probably a paraphrase from in there somewhere.

The Republicans fell easily into that trap in the kind of war they had little experience with (Iraq). But are masters of that very thing in the only war they care about (Subverting US Democracy).

If there were a real, operating, automatic, Democracy, the Bushevics would be toast, but they would have been toast years ago as well.

Naive Americans think that a majority can win just by being a large majority. Other countries with a history of dictatorship elites know better.

I expect "miracle" Kleptocrat wins in places where they run the process, even if few vote for them.

Places where Liberals are "safe" they are very safe as their districts have been used to "bleach" the surrounding gerrymanders, and so can win with 80-90% margins.

In the "bleached" gerrymander, the need to get more wins means that the vote (if counted) is more competitive, only favoring the conservative 55-60%, and here a DINO can win with some crossover votes.

So when it comes to who gets the Speaker of the House it makes sense to overturn those districts.

 

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